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The Spread of Obesity in a Large Social Network over 32 Years

机译:肥胖症在32年间在大型社交网络中的传播

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摘要

Background The prevalence of obesity has increased substantially over the past 30 years. We performed a quantitative analysis of the nature and extent of the person-to-person spread of obesity as a possible factor contributing to the obesity epidemic. Methods We evaluated a densely interconnected social network of 12,067 people assessed repeatedly from 1971 to 2003 as part of the Framingham Heart Study. The bodymass index was available for all subjects. We used longitudinal statistical models to examine whether weight gain in one person was associated with weight gain in his or her friends, siblings, spouse, and neighbors. Results Discernible clusters of obese persons (body-mass index [the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters], ≥30) were present in the network at all time points, and the clusters extended to three degrees of separation. These clusters did not appear to be solely attributable to the selective formation of social ties among obese persons. A person’s chances of becoming obese increased by 57% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6 to 123) if he or she had a friend who became obese in a given interval. Among pairs of adult siblings, if one sibling became obese, the chance that the other would become obese increased by 40% (95% CI, 21 to 60). If one spouse became obese, the likelihood that the other spouse would become obese increased by 37% (95% CI, 7 to 73). These effects were not seen among neighbors in the immediate geographic location. Persons of the same sex had relatively greater influence on each other than those of the opposite sex. The spread of smoking cessation did not account for the spread of obesity in the network. Conclusions Network phenomena appear to be relevant to the biologic and behavioral trait of obesity, and obesity appears to spread through social ties. These findings have implications for clinical and public health interventions.
机译:背景技术在过去的30年中,肥胖症的患病率大幅上升。我们对肥胖在人与人之间传播的性质和程度进行了定量分析,这是导致肥胖流行的可能因素。方法我们评估了一个密集互连的社交网络,该社交网络由1971年至2003年反复评估,共有12,067人作为Framingham心脏研究的一部分。身体质量指数适用于所有受试者。我们使用纵向统计模型来检查一个人的体重增加是否与其朋友,兄弟姐妹,配偶和邻居的体重增加有关。结果网络中所有时间点都存在明显的肥胖人群(体重指数[体重(公斤体重除以身高的平方,以米为单位),≥30),并且这些人群延伸到三个分离程度。这些集群似乎并不完全归因于肥胖者之间社会关系的选择性形成。如果一个人的朋友在给定的间隔内变得肥胖,那么他变得肥胖的机会就会增加57%(95%置信区间[CI]为6到123)。在成对的同胞兄弟姐妹中,如果一个兄弟姐妹变得肥胖,则另一个兄弟姐妹变得肥胖的机会增加了40%(95%CI,21至60)。如果一个配偶肥胖,则另一个配偶肥胖的可能性增加了37%(95%CI,7至73)。在直接地理位置的邻居中没有看到这些影响。同性的人比异性对彼此的影响更大。戒烟的蔓延并未说明肥胖在网络中的蔓延。结论网络现象似乎与肥胖的生物学和行为特征有关,肥胖似乎通过社会纽带传播。这些发现对临床和公共卫生干预有影响。

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